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Rain chances highest from 6 p.m. to midnight

A backdoor cold front is to blame but it brings us less humid air, especially by tomorrow afternoon.

A map of the MidAtlantic shows a stationary front draped over the region but one portion near D.C. marked as a cold front that is slowly sagging southward toward the Potomac River
Mid-afternoon position of a front just to our north moving south toward us (NOAA)
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A backdoor cold front, moving south toward DC, brings a small chance for a few gusty storms and flooding downpours — especially 6 p.m. to midnight. The front should sag south of us as the night wears on.

The front may move toward Richmond by 8 p.m. tonight but that may be a bit too fast (NWS)

For those locations that see rain tonight, amounts may vary from a tenth of an inch to a half-inch over short distances due to the nature of these hit-or-miss showers and storms.

Only a marginal chance (upper left panel, below) that a few storms tonight turn severe, with damaging wind gusts (lower right) per the Storm Prediction Center.

A few flooding downpours remain marginally possible as well, to recap that the threat could develop but chances are low.

The best news: Drier, more comfortable air slowly – somewhat unsteadily – arrives late tonight and more so by tomorrow afternoon. Enjoy the less humid air behind the front!

Muggy dew points in the low 70s tonight give way to more tolerable 60s by tomorrow
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A. Camden Walker

A. Camden Walker

Meteorologist and engagement lead, contributing to Capital Weather for over 20 years.

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